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India Monsoon 2026: Why July Rainfall Is Defying El Niño Forecasts

The 2026 India Monsoon emerges as one instance which serves as a lesson on the fact that seasonality in weather is hardly driven by any singular factor. Earlier predictions had been towards below-normal rainfall during July, owing to the impact of El Niño and its growing strength on weakening the Indian monsoon. But the rainfall pattern in July has turned out to be closer to normal, surprising many.

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